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San Diego Real Estate: reflections, musings, and rants…

San Diego Real Estate Sales Improve

From the San Diego Market Conditions collection

There were 1,877 single-family homes sold during April in San Diego County, which is 296 more homes than the 1,581 that where sold in April of last year. The MEDIAN (midpoint) selling price was $330K, which is also up from $320K last month, but still much less than the $427K median price of April 2008.  

Home Sales in North County

Real estate is local, and data for San Diego’s North County sales data is available from the North San Diego County Association of Realtors HomeDex Report. Sales figures discussed below are all for MEDIAN (midpoint) selling prices.

In the month of April, 723 detached North San Diego County homes were sold, and 4,102 homes remained on the market. Sale prices were up 7.14% over the previous month to $390K for the median home. 

Affordability (number of families who can afford the median home) is now 31%, up from 17% in April of last year. The monthly payment (including principle, interest, property taxes, and insurance) for a median priced detached home in North County would be $2123 with a conventional loan, at current rates. That is an increase from $1994 in March of 2009.  The median detached home sold in April was 22 years old, 1924 square feet, had 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, with a lot size of 9589 square feet. Prices ranged from $75K to $6.8 million.

There were 289 attached homes sold in San Diego’s North County during April, with 1388 actives remaining on the market. Attached homes prices were up 5.9% over the previous month, with the median price at $197K. 

Affordability for attached homes in North County is now at 64%, up significantly from 38% in April of last year. The monthly payment (including principle, interest, property taxes, and insurance) for a median priced attached home in North County would be $1073 with a conventional loan at market rates. That’s an increase from $1019 in March.  The median attached home sold in December was 24 years old, 1113 square feet, and had 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Prices ranged from $50K to $975K.

What are the experts saying?

The Pending Home Sales Index continues to go up!  What does this mean?  The Pending Home Sales Index is an index that recognizes homes that have been purchased, but whose purchase has not yet been finalized.  Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said “This increase could be the leading edge of first-time buyers responding to very favorable affordability conditions and an $8000 tax credit, which increases buying power even more in areas where special programs allow buyers to use it as a down payment.  We need several months of sustained growth to demonstrate a recovery in housing, which is necessary for the overall economy to turn around.”In regards to the increase in both the Pending Home Sales Index and housing affordability, NAR President Charles McMillan stated that “Compared to a year ago, the typical family can pay much less in mortgage costs for the same home, or buy a better home without necessarily increasing their monthly payment.”  He continued to recognize that “For buyers who’ve been on the sidelines and have good jobs, the market has never looked more favorable.  Homeownership has always offered immediate benefits and long-term value, but the advantages in today’s market are unique.”

In an even broader perspective, our Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke believes that nationwide economic recovery is underway.  He believes that the recession is easing and growth should begin by the end of the year.  Although this is great news for all of us, he also warned that recovery would be very slow, and unemployment rates are expected to remain high for some time even into the recovery period.  Overall, the outlook is good and the mood is positive.  

With the housing market looking up and the recession predicted to come to an end, now is definitely the time to look seriously at your options as a home-buyer.  As stated by the experts, this is a very unique time with very unique opportunities.  Don’t let them pass you buy!

References:

San Diego Market Trends Newsletter
HomeDex: North San Diego County Association of Realtors® (NSDCAR)

San Diego Real Estate Sales UP

From the San Diego Market Conditions collection

San Diego Real Estate Trends:

San Diego area home sales increased in March, for the 11th month in a row. Detached home sales were UP 48.3% year-over-year, and condo sales were UP 46.2%.

Median home prices slipped slightly from the previous month to $320,000, a loss of 25.6% compared to March of last year.

Read or print The Market Report here >>

Market trends and prices vary widely in San Diego County. See a price and sales survey of the many beach communities of San Diego are posted monthly on my website.

See Coastal Community Sales Data >>

How Safe is that Neighborhood?

From the Buying or Selling Real Estate collection

It’s a common refrain among prospective homeowners. Everyone wants to live in a “safe” neighborhood. Where are the safe neighborhoods?

The answer is simple. There really are no guaranteed safe  neighborhoods, because crime touches everyone. But we can measure crime, and the county of San Diego has given us an interesting tool, the Arjis Crime Maps Web page, to measure recent crime levels in neighborhoods.

Suppose you are interested in two different homes in two different areas. You can compare the level of crime taking place in and around that address using the Crime Map. The maps only go back 90 days - just a brief snapshot of that area - so you must use caution when using this tool. Any neighborhood can experience crime.

The easiest way to set up your map is to use the home’s address as your search location.

When you log on to the Arjis Crime Maps web page, you will need to accept their conditions of use. Once you click the accept button, you will be on their ABOUT page. There are basically four steps (selection screens) involved in setting up your crime map.

  1. Location
    • Select the Jurisdiction (Usually City)
    • Location ( Use Address)
    • Radius - (Largest Radius you can use is 1/2 mile)
  2. Incidents - Type of Crime (Crimes, Arrests & Citations, and Traffic)
  3. Time Periods (Up to 90 days maximum)
  4. Map (use the Create PDF button to save or print)

Once you’ve created and saved your map for one address, simply click the location button on the left to enter the next address. You can then jump right to the map button to look at the next address. (You don’t want to change your Incidents or Time Period Settings so that the comparison is meaningful.)

While this is a neat tool, it does not substitute for spending time in an area. It is SO important to visit the places which are important to you, and where you or your family members typically spend time. Visit local shopping areas, schools, parks, beaches or churches - wherever you and your family are likely to spend your time.

When using the tool, you may not know the difference between some of the crime categories listed. If you don’t know the difference between a robbery and burglary, the following references will be helpful.

References

Uniform Crime Reporting Guide
Community Crime Definitions
Arjis Crime Maps

HERE is Help for Homeowners

From the Mortgage Modification collection

There is a new government website to assist the 7 to 9 million homeowners whose loans are held by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and are eligible for a loan refinance, or a mortgage modification. Called  www.MakingHomeAffordable.com, the website went live on March 19th, and is a simple one stop resource for homeowners to help them determine whether they qualify, and to provide the information to assist them with the process.

There have been many companies formed to profit from the current housing crisis, some of which are fraudulent, charging fees to desperate homeowners who they cannot help. I’d like to pass along the following warning, which is taken from the new government website.

Beware of Foreclosure Rescue Scams - Help Is Free!

  • There is never a fee to get assistance or information about Making Home Affordable from your lender or a HUD-approved housing counselor.
  • Beware of any person or organization that asks you to pay a fee in exchange for housing counseling services or modification of a delinquent loan. Do not pay – walk away!
  • Beware of anyone who says they can “save” your home if you sign or transfer over the deed to your house. Do not sign over the deed to your property to any organization or individual unless you are working directly with your mortgage company to forgive your debt.
  • Never submit your mortgage payments to anyone other than your mortgage company without their approval.

Resources

www.MakingHomeAffordable.com
Previous Related Posts

Filing for Dollars:

From the Buying or Selling Real Estate, First Time Buyers collection

The First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit

If you haven’t owned a home for more than three years, and you bought a home either last year, or are planning to purchase this year, you may be eligible for dollars from Uncle Sam. The first time homebuyer tax credit was explained in a previous post.

When you file your taxes, you will need to use Form 5405.  This form lists exclusions, so read it carefully. There are income limits, and the home must be owner occupied.

There is a major difference between the tax benefits depending on the year your property closes. The IRS explains the difference between the 2008 and 2009 tax breaks in this article. Basically, it’s bad news for anyone who purchased last year. If your home closed in 2008, you have to pay back the credit back over 15 years. If you sell before the end of the 15 years, the balance must be paid off at that time. It is an interest free loan so you won’t find better terms anywhere. But this years buyers fare so much better. Not only do they have a higher credit ($8,000 instead of $7,500) but they don’t have to pay it back!

To obtain this years credit, your home purchase must close before December 1st 2009, so don’t delay!

The Mortgage Mess

From the Real Estate Finance collection

Record-Breaking Increases in Mortgage Delinquencies

The fourth quarter Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey was released on March 5th.

Mortgage delinquencies for U.S. homes rose to over 11% in the 4th quarter of 2008. MBA reports that this is the highest level seen since the organization began keeping data in 1972.

One out of eight homeowners is now behind on one or more mortgage payments. This is a 4% increase over the rate reported in the third quarter, which was the previous record high. This was also the largest quarterly increase they have observed.

The Chief Economist for the MBA believes this increase is primarily caused by the economic downturn. New delinquencies were more evenly spread across the nation. Previously, delinquencies were concentrated in states where the housing bubble’s collapse was most severe.

We will continue to see, however, a shift away from delinquencies tied to the structure and underwriting quality of loans to mortgage delinquencies caused by job and income losses…
While California, Florida, Nevada, Arizona and Michigan continue to dominate the delinquency numbers, some of the sharpest increases we saw last quarter in loans 90 days or more delinquent were in Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Texas and Mississippi, signs of the spreading impact of the recession…

Reference

Delinquencies Continue to Climb in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey

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